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Saturday, October 12, 2013

EUR/NZD: Analysis for October 11, 2013


Overview:
 Since our last analysis, the EUR/NZD pair has been trading sideways around the price of 1.6265, we are still waiting for more downward movements. We may expect the testing of Fibonacci RE 61.8% at the price of 1.5915. In the daily chart, we can observe supply bar on average volume. This is a sign that we may see futher downward movement. I placed Fibonacci expansion to find a potential end of the corrective phase and I got FE 61.8% at 1.6441, FE 100% at the price of 1.6580 and FE 161.8% (extreme extension) at the price of 1.6800.  Since we are in the uptrend, according to the daily chart, we may see retracement from FR 61.8% (1.5915). Anyway, if the price breaks that area, we may see changing in trend dynamics from bullish to bearish. 
Daily pivot Fibonacci points: 
R1: 1.6384 
R2: 1.6417 
R3: 1.6471 
Support levels: 
S1: 1.6276 
S2: 1.6243 
S3: 1.6189 
Trading recommendation: Be careful with buying as we may see the testing of the area around 1.5915, before any upward movement.