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Friday, October 4, 2013

EUR/NZD: Analysis for October 04, 2013


Overview: Since our last analysis, the EUR/NZD pair has been trading sideways around the price 1.6382, we are still waiting for more downward movements. We may expect the testing of Fibonacci RE 61.8% at the price of 1.5915. In the daily chart, we can observe no demand bar on volume just above the average. This is a sign that we finished bullish corrective phase. I placed Fibonacci expansion to find a potential end of the corrective phase and I got FE 61.8% at 1.6441, FE 100% at the price of 1.6580 and FE 161.8% (extreme extension) at the price of 1.6800.  Since we are in the uptrend, according to the daily chart, we may see retracement from FR 61.8% (1.5915). Anyway, if the price breaks that area, we may see changing in trend dynamics from bullish to bearish. Daily pivot Fibonacci points: Resistance levels: R1: 1.6457 R2: 1.6500 R3: 1.6570 Support levels: S1: 1.6317 S2: 1.6274 S3: 1.6274 Trading recommendation: Be careful with buying as we may see the testing of the area around 1.5915, before any upward movement.